商业建筑电池储能经济驱动因素的统计分析

Matthew Long, Travis Simpkins, D. Cutler, Kate Anderson
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引用次数: 11

摘要

在商业建筑中,使用电池储能系统(BESS)来降低峰值需求费用,从而降低电力的生命周期成本,这是非常有兴趣的。本文通过统计分析探讨了商业建筑中BESS经济可行性的驱动因素。建立了建筑样本人口模型,运用技术经济优化模型对BESS的规模和调度进行了优化,并对优化后的BESS规模进行了预测分析。解释性回归分析用于证明,在考虑的变量中,峰值需求费用是经济上可行的电池的最重要预测因子,而负载剖面的形状是电池尺寸的最重要预测因子。
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A statistical analysis of the economic drivers of battery energy storage in commercial buildings
There is significant interest in using battery energy storage systems (BESS) to reduce peak demand charges, and therefore the life cycle cost of electricity, in commercial buildings. This paper explores the drivers of economic viability of BESS in commercial buildings through statistical analysis. A sample population of buildings was generated, a techno-economic optimization model was used to size and dispatch the BESS, and the resulting optimal BESS sizes were analyzed for relevant predictor variables. Explanatory regression analyses were used to demonstrate that, of the variables considered, peak demand charges are the most significant predictor of an economically viable battery, and that the shape of the load profile is the most significant predictor of the size of the battery.
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