基于数据分析和物理模型的致密油重复压裂候选选择

Die Hu, Zhengdong Lei, S. Cartwright, S. Samoil, Siqi Xie, Zhangxin Chen
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摘要

可通过生产统计、虚拟智能和类型曲线匹配等方法解决重复压裂备选方案的选择问题,这些方法大多采用基于数据的模型。它们释放了巨大的数据力量,但在基于物理的模型中没有考虑地质分布的影响。本文结合数据模型和基于物理模型的优势,提出了一种混合分析方法,对现有方法进行改进和加强。选取生产动态、完井指标、邻井周围地质分布3个指标及其子指标,构建了重复压裂候选井评价体系。现场数据被收集和处理,以计算完井指数和生产动态。为了量化井周围的地质分布,需要一个历史匹配的油藏模拟模型。此外,利用图论算法Dijkstra最短路径量化了三维储层模型中地质分布对油井的影响。然后运用层次分析法和灰色关联分析法建立多层次评价体系,确定各战略因素并对其进行排序。最后,数据点显示在三维坐标系中,并使用自定义的权重来计算潜在重复压裂井的最终排名。并在自主开发的可视化平台上进行了混合分析。以Y284致密油油藏历史匹配油藏模拟模型为例进行了研究。收集并分析了8口重复压裂井的数据。灰色关联分析结果显示,相对生产率是产能绩效的子指标,排在首位,其次是累计产液量。完成度和阻力排在第三和第四,差距很小。在分析结果的基础上,建立了评价体系。利用评价系统对14口候选重复压裂井进行了分析和排序。这些井以3D坐标系统显示,其中x、y和z方向分别代表三个标准。分布在第一象限的井被认为是进行重复压裂的最佳候选井。绘制了评价因素与重复压裂后产油量的相关性图,验证了该方法的有效性。本研究探讨了如何在重复压裂候选井的选择工作流程中进行混合分析。将可视化、可解释性、强大的基础和对储层模型的理解与准确性和效率、数据驱动的人工智能算法、从该项目中提取的经验和见解相结合,显示出在油气行业应用混合分析和建模的巨大潜力。
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Refracturing Candidate Selection in Tight Oil Reservoirs Using Hybrid Analysis of Data and Physics Based Models
Refracturing candidate selection problems can be solved via production statistics, virtual intelligence and type-curve matching, and these methods are mostly developed using data-based models. They unleash great power of data but have not considered the influence of geological distributions in physics-based models. This paper combines the strengths of data and physics based models and proposes a hybrid analysis method to improve and strengthen the current methods. Three criteria, production performance, a completion index and a geological distribution around an offset well, and their sub-criteria are selected to build an evaluation system for refracturing candidate wells. Field data is collected and processed to calculate a completion index and production performance. To quantify a geological distribution around a well, a history-matched reservoir simulation model is required. Besides, a graph theory algorithm, Dijkstra’s shortest path, is used to quantify the influence of geological distributions in 3D reservoir models on wells. An analytic hierarchy process and grey correlation analysis are then used to establish a multi-level evaluation system and determine and rank each individual strategic factor. Finally, datapoints are shown in a 3D coordinate system, and custom defined weights are used to calculate the final ranking of potential refracturing wells. In addition, the hybrid analysis is presented on our self-developed visualization platform. A history-matched reservoir simulation model from the Y284 tight oil reservoir is used as a study case. Eight refractured wells’ data is collected and analyzed. As a grey correlation analysis result, a sub-criteron of productivity performance, relative productivity, ranks the first, followed by cumulative liquid production. Completion and resistance rank third and fourth with a small gap. Based on the analysis results, an evaluation system is built up. 14 refracturing candidate wells are analyzed and ranked using the evaluation system. These wells are displayed in a 3D coordinate system, where x, y and z directions represent three criteria separately. Wells distributed in the first quadrant are regarded as optimum candidates to apply refracturing treatments. Correlations of evaluation factors and increased oil production after refracturing treatment are plotted to validate the method. This study explores how to conduct hybrid analysis in a selection workflow of refracturing candidate wells. Combing visualization, interpretability, robust foundation and understanding of reservoir models with accuracy and efficiency, data-driven artificial intelligence algorithms, the experiences distilled, and insights gained from this project show great potential to apply hybrid analysis as well as modelling in oil and gas industry.
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