LSTM智能算法在页岩气开发中的应用

Qichao Gao, Lulu Liao, Shunhui Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

页岩气被视为清洁、低碳、绿色能源,页岩气的利用和高效开发对于实现双碳目标具有重要意义。水平井水力压裂是开发页岩气资源的重要途径。预测不同工程地质条件下的页岩气产量对页岩气开发的优化压裂设计至关重要。本文提出了一种基于lstm的页岩气产量智能预测模型,该模型能够快速准确地预测页岩气产量。综合评价和比较了人工智能网络的性能,测试结果表明,基于lstm的人工智能模型可以通过输入储层和工程参数输出产气量数据。基于lstm的人工智能模型相对误差均值为5.32%,能够可靠地预测产气量。本研究中该AI模型在第100天、第300天、第500天的相对误差峰值分别为4.67%、6.53%、8.23%。该研究可为页岩气预测提供一种有效、快捷的方法,提高能源开发的智能化水平。
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Application of LSTM intelligent algorithm in shale gas development
Shale gas is regard as a clean, low-carbon and green energy, and the utilization and efficient development of shale gas is of great significance for achieving the dual carbon goals. Horizontal well hydraulic fracturing is an important way to develop shale gas resources. Predicting the production of shale gas under different engineering or geological conditions of shale reservoirs is crucial to the optimal fracturing design of shale gas development. This study proposes a LSTMbased intelligent model to predict the gas production of shale, and this novel smart model predicts gas production quickly and accurately. We comprehensively evaluate and compare the performance of the AI network, and the results of test show that the LSTM-based AI model can output gas production data by inputting reservoir and engineering parameters. The mean value of relative error of the LSTM-based AI model is 5.32%, which is reliably for the prediction of gas production. The peak of relative errors of this AI model in this study on day 100, 300, and 500 are 4.67%, 6.53%, and 8.23%, respectively. This study can provide an effective and quick method for shale gas prediction and improve the intelligence level of energy development.
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