水电消费对环境退化的影响——以南美地区为例

Matheus Koengkan, L. Losekann, J. Fuinhas, A. Marques
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文分析了1966年至2015年7个南美国家的水电消费对环境退化(二氧化碳排放)的影响。采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)的无限制误差修正模型(UECM)形式。初步检验证明存在异方差性、截面独立性和一阶自相关。结果表明:水电消纳对环境退化的短期影响为-0.0465,对长期影响为0.0593。这种经验证据可以鼓励制定新政策,引入在能源矩阵中零碳排放的新能源技术。
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The Effect of Hydroelectricity Consumption on Environmental Degradation – The Case of South America region
This article analyses the impact of hydroelectricity consumption on environmental degradation (CO2 emissions) in seven South American countries, in a period from 1966 to 2015. The Unrestricted Error Correction Model (UECM) form of the Auto-regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) was utilized. The initial tests prove the presence of heteroskedasticity, cross sectional independence, and first-order autocorrelation. The results show that the consumption of hydroelectricity causes a reduction of -0.0465 in environmental degradation in the short run, and increase 0.0593 in the long-run. This empirical evidence could encourage the creation of new policies, which introduce new energy technologies that release zero carbon in the energy matrix.
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