社会5.0进程中的社会保障支出进程

H. Günay, Muhammet Şahi̇n
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摘要

技术发展对经济产生了不可磨灭的影响。每一项新发明的实现都迅速改变了生产过程,从而改变了社会生活。其中一个最明显的例子是18世纪出现的第一次工业革命。随后的发展被认为是工厂环境中生产的开始,以自动化为基础的第二次工业革命(20世纪上半叶)和以电子为基础的第三次工业革命(20世纪最后四分之一)实现了。最后,第四次工业革命(工业4.0)进程于2011年由德国发起。日本在2017年开发了“超级智能社会(社会5.0)”模型,这与预计网络物理系统和机器人技术将占据主导地位的过程相一致。工业4.0和社会5.0的实施预计将对经济和社会生活产生重大影响,并从根本上改变劳动和福利国家的做法。上述发展也有可能对政府的社会保障制度产生影响。同样,由于机器人技术和培训现有劳动力适应新技术而出现的广泛失业状况可能导致社会保障制度的重新设计。本研究的目的是证明工业4.0和社会5.0过程对社会保障支出的可能影响。从研究中得到的基本结果;失业增加和劳动力培训活动增加了社会保障支出,但福利国家实施的数字化进程可能会在长期内减少社会保障支出,这取决于政府效率和有效性的提高。
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The Course of Social Security Spending Within the Process of Society 5.0
Technological developments have left indelible impacts on the economy all along the line. Every novel invention realized changes production processes rapidly, which concomitantly transforms social life. One of the most apparent examples of this is the First Industrial Revolution emerged in the 18 th Century. Subsequent to this development which was considered as the beginning of production in the factory environment, the second industrial revolution based on automation (First half of 20 th Century) and the third Industrial Revolution based on electronics (last quarter of the 20 th century) were realized. Finally, the Fourth Industrial Revolution (Industry 4.0) process was initiated by Germany in 2011. In line with this process in which cyber-physical systems and robotic technologies are expected to prevail, Super-Smart Society (Society 5.0) model was developed by Japan in 2017. Both Industry 4.0 and Society 5.0 implementations are expected to have a significant impact on economic and social life and to change both labor and Welfare State practices fundamentally. It is also possible that these aforementioned developments may have an impact on social security system of the government. Likewise, the emergence of extensive unemployment condition due to robotic technologies and training for adaptation of available labor force to the new technologies may lead to redesign of the social security system. The aim of this study is to demonstrate the possible impacts of the Industry 4.0 and Society 5.0 processes on social security expenditures. The basic result obtained from the study; unemployment increase and training activities for the labor-force increases social security expenditures, but however digitalization process in Welfare State implementations may be expected to decrease social security expenditures in the long-run depending on efficiency and effectiveness increases in the government.
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