海洋预报中不确定性的可视化分析,用于近海结构物的规划和操作

T. Höllt, A. Magdy, Guoning Chen, G. Gopalakrishnan, I. Hoteit, C. Hansen, M. Hadwiger
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引用次数: 34

摘要

我们提出了一种新的集成可视化系统,可以对用于海洋预报的集合模拟进行交互式可视化分析,即海面高度的模拟。我们的系统能够实现海上结构的布置和操作的交互式规划。我们使用墨西哥湾的真实世界模拟来说明这一点。近海结构,如用于石油勘探的结构,容易受到强环流造成的危害。因此,石油和天然气行业依赖于精确的海洋预测系统来规划他们的作业。目前,这些预报是基于多个时空模拟,产生多维、多元和多值数据,即所谓的集合数据。海面高程的变化是环流运动的一个很好的指标,我们的可视化方法使它们的交互探索和分析成为可能。我们可以分析空间域,规划结构的位置,以及详细探索任何选定位置的时间演变,以预测需要关闭钻井作业的关键海洋状态。
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Visual analysis of uncertainties in ocean forecasts for planning and operation of off-shore structures
We present a novel integrated visualization system that enables interactive visual analysis of ensemble simulations used in ocean forecasting, i.e, simulations of sea surface elevation. Our system enables the interactive planning of both the placement and operation of off-shore structures. We illustrate this using a real-world simulation of the Gulf of Mexico. Off-shore structures, such as those used for oil exploration, are vulnerable to hazards caused by strong loop currents. The oil and gas industry therefore relies on accurate ocean forecasting systems for planning their operations. Nowadays, these forecasts are based on multiple spatio-temporal simulations resulting in multidimensional, multivariate and multivalued data, so-called ensemble data. Changes in sea surface elevation are a good indicator for the movement of loop current eddies, and our visualization approach enables their interactive exploration and analysis. We enable analysis of the spatial domain, for planning the placement of structures, as well as detailed exploration of the temporal evolution at any chosen position, for the prediction of critical ocean states that require the shutdown of rig operations.
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