拟双曲折现与时间不一致退休的存在性

T. Findley, J. Feigenbaum
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引用次数: 7

摘要

为退休存多少钱的决定很可能取决于个人计划什么时候退休,反之亦然。然而,关于双曲贴现和生命周期储蓄行为的既有文献在很大程度上是从退休选择中抽象出来的。两个值得注意的例外是Diamond和Koszegi[1]以及Holmes[2]的一项重要的后续研究,该研究表明,当储蓄行为明确地以程式化的三期设置为模型时,时间不一致的退休时间是不可能的。在本文中,我们在Diamond和Koszegi[1]和Holmes[2]的框架上,通过推广关于初始收入和资产的假设。我们分析并通过简单的数值例子表明,时间不一致的退休可以存在于消费和储蓄的三期生命周期模型中。
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Quasi-Hyperbolic Discounting and the Existence of Time-Inconsistent Retirement
The decision about how much to save for retirement is likely to be dependent on when an individual plans to be retired, and vice versa. Yet, the established literature on hyperbolic discounting and life-cycle saving behavior has for the most part abstracted from choice over retirement. Two notable exceptions are Diamond and Koszegi [1] and an important follow-up study by Holmes [2], which demonstrates that time-inconsistent retirement timing is impossible when saving behavior is explicitly modeled in a stylized three-period setting. In this paper, we build upon the framework of Diamond and Koszegi [1] and Holmes [2] by generalizing the assumptions about initial income and assets. We show analytically and via simple numerical examples that time-inconsistent retirement can exist in a three-period life-cycle model of consumption and saving.
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