衡量汇率的经济成本:来自面板数据的经验证据

I. Uddin, Abdul Subhan Kazi, Qamaruddin Mahar, Farhan Hussain
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摘要

目的:本研究考察汇率的经济成本。巴基斯坦一直面临着严重的汇率问题以及汇率波动对各种经济指标或变量的影响。自2008年以来,整体汇率一直在贬值,从1美元兑60卢比开始,最近跌至1美元兑154卢比。设计/方法/方法-使用2002-2016年的时间序列面板数据进行分析,它有巴基斯坦和印度两个横截面。数据从不同的来源收集,包括亚洲开发银行,透明国际美国和世界经济指标。采用巴基斯坦卢比和印度卢比的汇率、腐败感知指数(百分比)以及巴基斯坦卢比和印度卢比的外国借款(€™)变量进行分析。E-views version 7采用了单位根面板、回归分析面板等各种统计检验对数据进行分析。研究结果-基于所有研究的变量被发现对实际汇率有显著和积极的影响。原创性/价值——在以前的研究中,研究学者调查了汇率对任何经济体GDP的总体影响。本研究深入探讨了汇率对巴基斯坦和印度两国政府部门腐败的影响。对于同样面临汇率问题的国家,今后也可以进行类似的研究。
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The Measuring Economic Cost of Exchange Rate: Empirical Evidence from Panel Data
Purpose- This study examines the economic cost of exchange rate. Pakistan has been facing serious issue in regard of exchange rate and this fluctuations impact on various economic indicators or variables. The overall exchange rate value is being depreciated since 2008, it started from Rs 60 against one dollar and recently it reached to Rs, 154 that is equal to one dollar.  Design/methodology/approach- Time series panel data from 2002-2016 has been used for analysis, it has two cross-sections Pakistan and India. Data is collected from various sources that include Asian Development Bank, Transparency International US and World Economic Indicators. Exchange rate in Pak rupees and Ind rupees, corruption perception index in percentage and foreign borrowings in both Pak rupees and Ind rupees’ variables are taken for analysis. Various statistical tests have been applied for the analysis of data such as unit root panel and regression analysis panel in E-views version 7. Findings- Based on all studied variables are found to have significant and positive impact on real exchange rate. Originality/value- In previous studies research scholars investigated overall exchange rate impact on GDP of any economy. This study gives insight into exchange rate impact on government department corruption of both countries Pakistan and India. In future similar study can be conducted for those countries which are also facing problem of exchange rate in their respective countries.      
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