迈向密西西比的长期复苏:了解交通系统对经济恢复力的影响

R. Nóbrega, Bethany Stich
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去的十年中,密西西比州表现出对自然灾害和人为灾害的高度敏感性。卡特里娜飓风造成的破坏不仅影响了沿海地区的经济,而且影响了整个州的经济。特别是,关键交通基础设施的丧失影响了工业和劳动力。本文分析了交通网络与经济发展之间的强地理相关性。作者使用模拟运输网络中断的模型调查了物流和区域经济困境的相互依赖性。为了校准模型,作者使用了密西西比州CSX海岸铁路的中断以及卡特里娜飓风前后该地区造船业的经济指标。该模型的一个假设应用是基于沿新马德里断层发生的高震级地震,该地震将影响密西西比州西北部。在铁路网中模拟了中断。
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Toward Long-Term Recovery in Mississippi: Understanding the Impact of the Transportation System on Economic Resilience
AbstractOver the last decade, the state of Mississippi has shown its high susceptibility to natural and human-made disasters. The damages caused by Hurricane Katrina affected the economy not only of the coastal region, but also of the entire state. In particular, the loss of critical transportation infrastructure affected industries and the labor force. This paper analyzes the strong geographic correlation between the transportation network and economic development. The authors investigated the interdependency of logistics and regional economic distress using a model for simulating disruptions to the transportation network. To calibrate the model, the writers used the disruptions of CSX coastal rails in Mississippi and the shipbuilding industry’s economic indicators in the region pre- and post-Katrina. A hypothetical application of the model was created based on a high-magnitude earthquake along the New Madrid fault, which would impact northwest Mississippi. Disruptions were simulated in the railroad netw...
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