每周展望:猪肉成本下降也受到膳食成本下降的推动

farmdoc daily Pub Date : 2015-08-31 DOI:10.22004/AG.ECON.229764

C. Hurt

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摘要

近年来，膳食价格居高不下。美国农业部报告称，在2012年、2013年和2014年的历年里，伊利诺伊州迪凯特市的高蛋白餐的年平均价格在每吨440美元到480美元之间。但随着2014年秋季美国大豆产量创历史新高，2015年将迎来第二大产量，迪凯特大豆价格预计将在2015年平均每吨350美元左右，然后进一步下跌至2016年平均每吨325美元左右。这将是自2007年以来最低的年度膳食价格。

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Weekly Outlook: Lower Pork Costs Also Driven by Lower Meal Costs

In recent years, meal has been high priced. For the calendar years of 2012, 2013 and 2014 USDA reports that Decatur, Illinois high-protein meal has had annual averages between $440 and $480 per ton. But with a record U.S. soybean crop in the fall of 2014 and with the second largest crop in 2015, Decatur prices are expected to average about $350 per ton for 2015 and then fall further to average near $325 per ton for calendar year 2016. This would be the lowest annual meal price since 2007.

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