空气污染、经济增长和预期寿命之间的关系:来自印度尼西亚的经验证据

Abdul Bashir, Liliana Liliana, A. Hidayat, S. Suhel
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引用次数: 6

摘要

本研究调查了印尼的空气污染、经济增长和预期寿命之间的关系。1985年至2019年的观察期使用了从世界银行获得的时间序列数据。定量方法采用两个主要模型,即考虑时间推移影响的自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型和采用向量误差校正方法的格兰杰因果关系模型。研究结果证明,从长远来看,空气污染对预期寿命有显著的负面影响。经济增长对预期寿命有显著的正向影响。在短期内,当前的预期寿命受到前一时期预期寿命的积极和显著影响。空气污染对预期寿命有显著的负向影响,经济增长对预期寿命有显著的负向影响。格兰杰因果模型的另一个发现是空气污染与预期寿命之间的双向关系。其他证据表明,经济增长和空气污染之间存在双向关系。此外,短期内经济增长与预期寿命存在单向关系的证据。协整方程显示了空气污染、经济增长和预期寿命之间的长期关系。
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The Relationship between Air Pollution, Economic Growth, and Life Expectancy: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia
This study investigates the relationship between air pollution, economicgrowth, and life expectancy in Indonesia. The observation periodduring 1985-2019 used time-series data obtained from the WorldBank. Quantitative approach by applying two main models, namelythe autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model by considering theeffect of time-lapse and Granger causality with vector error correctionmethod. Research findings prove that air pollution has a negativeand significant effect on life expectancy in the long run. Economicgrowth has a positive and significant effect on life expectancy. In theshort run, the current life expectancy is positively and significantlyinfluenced by the life expectancy of the previous period. Air pollutionhas a negative and significant effect on life expectancy, and economicgrowth has a negative and significant effect on life expectancy. Anotherfinding in the Granger causality model is a two-way relationshipbetween air pollution and life expectancy. Other evidence exists of atwo-way relationship between economic growth and air pollution. Inaddition, evidence of a unidirectional relationship of economic growthwith life expectancy in the short run. The cointegration equationshows evidence of a long-run relationship between air pollution,economic growth, and life expectancy.
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