P90使用降钙素原预测COVID-19的发病率和死亡率

S. Kumar, A. D'Souza, G. Gamtkitsulashvili, S. Waring, Y. Narayan, G. Collins, O. Taylor, S. Jiwani, K. Patrick, A. Sethuraman, S. Naik, S. Kuckreja, R. Ragatha, M. Anwar, U. Ekeowa, P. Russell
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摘要

图1 PCT与COVID-19患者发病率和死亡率的关系(图省略。在这里,我们报告了迄今为止最大的单中心研究,分析了COVID-19中英国人群的降钙素原。在我们的队列中,我们观察到PCT初始水平升高与ICU入院发生率和死亡率之间存在显著相关性,从而表明PCT有望作为有效的预后指标。对于PCT≥0.5µg/L,使用更高的临界值会使死亡率增加近50%,但对发病率没有影响。我们建议使用较低的PCT普遍临界值来检测继发性细菌感染和降钙素原引导的抗菌治疗。[参考文献]胡锐,等。国际抗微生物药物杂志,2020;56(2):106051。Vazzana N,等。中华临床杂志,2020年9月23日:1 - 5。
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P90 Use of procalcitonin to predict morbidity and mortality in COVID-19
P90 Figure 1The association of PCT in COVID-19 and patient morbidity and mortality.[Figure omitted. See PDF]ConclusionsHere, we report the largest single-centre study to date in analysing a UK-based population for procalcitonin in COVID-19. We observed a significant correlation between elevated initial levels of PCT and incidence of ICU admission and mortality within our cohort, thereby demonstrating promise for PCT as an effective prognostic marker. Using a higher cut-off for PCT ≥0.5µg/L increased mortality by almost 50%, but had no effect on morbidity. We suggest that a lower universal cut-off point for PCT should be used for detecting secondary bacterial infections and procalcitonin-guided antimicrobial therapy.ReferencesHu R, et al. International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents 2020;56(2):106051.Vazzana N, et al. Acta Clin Belg. 2020 Sep 23:1–5.
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