解释盈利能力异常

Ryan Erhard, Richard G. Sloan
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引用次数: 5

摘要

我们为盈利能力异常提供了一种新的解释以及一系列支持性的实证检验。我们的解释是基于这样一种观察,即投资者经常通过将相似的市盈率分配给具有相似预期公司增长的股票来评估股票。这种天真的估值方法导致盈利能力与未来股票回报之间存在正相关关系,并且这种关系在高成长性公司中更为强烈。这种关系的产生是因为利润较低的公司必须在未来发行额外的股票来为增长提供资金,从而稀释了现有股东对未来收益和现金流的要求。
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Explaining the Profitability Anomaly
We provide a new explanation for the profitability anomaly along with a battery of supportive empirical tests. Our explanation is based on the observation that investors frequently value stocks by assigning similar price-to-earnings multiples to stocks with similar expected firm growth. This naive approach to valuation results in a positive relation between profitability and future stock returns, and the relation is stronger in firms with higher growth. The relation arises because less profitable firms must issue additional equity in the future to finance growth, thus diluting the claims of existing stockholders to future earnings and cash flows.
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