基于个体的人群疏散模型:结合个体、社会和技术方面

K. Zia, A. Ferscha
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引用次数: 10

摘要

由于涉及复杂的相互关联的方面,涉及的个人和/或环境的多样性,以及缺乏直接证据,人群疏散系统的开发是一项挑战。疏散建模和仿真用于分析不同场景下可能出现的各种结果,特别是在场景复杂性较高的情况下。然而,在统一的建模空间中合并不同的方面类别是一个挑战。在本文中,我们通过结合疏散过程中人员的个人、社会和技术模型来解决这一挑战,同时将所有这些方面都集中在一个基于智能体的通用建模框架和基于网格的假设环境上。通过模拟这些模型,可以深入了解几个有趣的疏散场景的有效性。根据仿真结果,给出了一些有用的建议。最重要的建议是不要使用指示退出动态的势场作为退出策略,特别是对于空间复杂性环境。
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An Agent-Based Model of Crowd Evacuation: Combining Individual, Social and Technological Aspects
Development of crowd evacuation systems is a challenge due to involvement of complex interrelated aspects, diversity of involved individuals and/or environment, and lack of direct evidence. Evacuation modeling and simulation is used to analyze various possible outcomes as different scenarios unfold, typically when the complexity of scenario is high. However, incorporation of different aspect categories in a unified modeling space is a challenge. In this paper, we addressed this challenge by combining individual, social and technological models of people during evacuation, while pivoting all these aspects on a common agent-based modeling framework and a grid-based hypothetical environment. By simulating these models, an insight into the effectiveness of several interesting evacuation scenarios is provided. Based on the simulation results, a couple of useful recommendations are also given. The most important recommendation is not to use potential field indicating the exits dynamics as an exit strategy particularly for a spatial complexity environment.
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