动态市场中的垂直整合时刻

Rui Fernandes, B. Gouveia, C. Pinho
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引用次数: 4

摘要

目的-本文旨在量化预期产能扩张的影响,将其视为战略垂直整合中的风险投资。设计/方法/方法-本文将实物期权方法应用于时间框架模型。本文通过一个案例研究来探讨垂直整合方法。研究结果-整合值取决于市场波动下的需求临界水平。需求正跳变的存在影响着需求临界值和集成决策矩。研究局限性/启示-数值示例仅限于单个组织,但研究结果允许提出的框架的概括。实际意义-该模型帮助管理者更准确地决定从外包到集成战略的转变,并推迟承诺,直到与市场和缺乏信息相关的未来不确定性可以部分解决。最后,本文提供了一个战略决策支持系统的时间框架。
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Vertical integration moment in dynamic markets
Purpose – This paper intends to quantify the impact of anticipating a capacity expansion, treated as a risky investment in a strategic vertical integration.Design/methodology/approach – This paper adapts the real option methodology to a time frame model. It uses a case study to investigate the vertical integration approach.Findings – The integration value depends on the demand critical level under market volatility. The existence of demand positive jumps affects the demand critical value and the integration decision moment.Research limitations/implications – The numerical example is limited to a single organization, but the findings allow a generalization of the proposed framework.Practical implications – The model helps managers to more accurately decide to change from outsourcing to an integration strategy and defer commitment until future uncertainties, related with market and lack of information, can be partially solved. Finally, the paper provides a time framework for a strategic decision support sys...
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