G. Jóhannesson, K. Dyer, W. Hanley, B. Kosović, S. Larsen, G. Loosmore, J. Lundquist, A. Mirin
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Sequential Monte-Carlo Framework for Dynamic Data-Driven Event Reconstruction for Atmospheric Release
The release of hazardous materials into the atmosphere can have a tremendous impact on dense populations. We propose an atmospheric event reconstruction framework that couples observed data and predictive computer-intensive dispersion models via Bayesian methodology. Due to the complexity of the model framework, a sampling-based approach is taken for posterior inference that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) strategies.