一种利用机器学习技术改进油藏代理模型的新方法

O. Zotkin, A. Osokina, M. Simonov, Andrianova Alla, A. Sharifov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

任何公司在石油行业成功发展的关键组成部分之一是对大量数据进行高质量的处理和分析,以便后续解决石油、液体、天然和产气的预测和调度任务。在IT领域快速发展的条件下,机器学习方法的使用是一个相关的和有前途的方向。然而,大多数新兴的工程挑战无法通过仅使用机器学习算法或仅使用物理和数学模型来有效解决。与物理/数学和机器学习模型相结合的方法相比,仅使用其中一种方法解决上述任务要么更耗费人力(描述系统中运行的所有过程,就像在一个完整的物理/数学模型中一样),要么允许非物理解决方案的可能性和高误差值(当仅使用机器学习方法时)。提出的混合方法允许消除物理和数学模型中固有的不确定性,这些不确定性难以通过应用机器学习方法来改进结果进行分析描述。
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A Novel Approach to Refinment Reservoir Proxy Model Using Machine-Learning Techniques
One of the crucial components of any company successful development in the oil industry is the high-quality processing and analysis of a large amount of data for subsequent solving the forecasting and scheduling tasks of the oil, liquid, natural and co-produced wellhead gas production. Under the conditions of rapidly developing IT sphere, the use of machine learning methods is a relevant and a promising direction. However, most of the emerging engineering challenges cannot be solved efficiently by using either only machine learning algorithms or only physical and mathematical models. Solving the above-mentioned tasks using only one of the approaches is either more labour-intensive (the description of all processes running in the system like in a complete physical/mathematical model), or allows for the possibility of non-physical solutions and high error values (when only machine learning approach is used) in comparison with the combined physical/mathematical and machine learning models. The proposed hybrid approach allows to eliminate the uncertainties inherent in physical and mathematical models that are difficult to describe analytically by the application of machine learning methods to refine the results.
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