不安全对尼日利亚经济增长的影响

L. S. Nkwatoh, Hiikyaa A. Nathaniel
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引用次数: 1

摘要

许多符合理论基础的研究表明,不安全感对经济增长产生负面影响。本研究调查了不安全感对尼日利亚经济增长的影响。向量自回归模型采用2009年第一季度至2016年第四季度的季度数据。主要调查结果表明,经济增长和投资活动在不安全时期往往会增加。在不安全时期,失业率也有所下降。这意味着不安全感只会威胁到经济活动,而不会像各种经济理论所推测的那样对整个经济产生负面影响。因此,为了持续维持尼日利亚的经济增长率,政府需要通过加强国家安全来保护国内外投资。
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Effect of Insecurity on Economic Growth in Nigeria
Many studies in conformity with theoretical underpinnings have shown that insecurity exerts a negative effect on economic growth. This study investigated the effect of insecurity on economic growth in Nigeria. The vector autoregressive model was employed using quarterly data from 2009Q1 to 2016Q4. The major findings show that economic growth and investment activities tend to increase during periods of insecurity. Also the rate of unemployment reduced during periods of insecurity. This implies that insecurity only threatens economic activities with no negative effect on the entire economy as conjectured by various economic theories. Thus, to continuously sustain the Nigeria’s economic growth rate, the government needs to protect domestic and foreign investments by stepping up its national security.
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