创业项目评估的假设检验方法

Dmytro Shestakov
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摘要

本文为评估创新项目和理解创业风险的本质提供了新的视角。作者考虑了五个主要假设,这些假设构成了每个创新项目的基础,这些项目包括一堆各自的假设,以积极主动的方式管理启动风险。建议的方法突出了项目的不确定性和风险,嵌入式投资和管理选项,并能够更全面和准确地评估创新。假设检验方法能够清晰、快速地评估创业项目的风险和吸引力。它取代了NPV和DCF等不明确的传统技术,避免了沉重的现金流模型。
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The Hypotheses Testing Method for Evaluation of Startup Projects
This paper suggests new perspective to evaluating innovation projects and understanding the nature of startup risks. Author consider five principal hypotheses that underlie every innovative project that comprise a bunch of respective assumptions to manage startup risks in a proactive manner. Suggested approach spots the light on a project’s uncertainties and risks, embedded investment and managerial options, and enables more comprehensive and accurate evaluation of innovation. The Hypotheses Testing Method enables to estimate risks and attractiveness of a startup project in a clear and fast manner. It replaces unclear traditional techniques like NPV and DCF, avoiding heavy cash flow modelling.
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