重犯与判决错误的最佳量刑问题述评

Alice Guerra, T. Nilssen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

面对判决错误,我们分析了再犯的最优刑期。我们建立了一个无限视界模型,罪犯是习惯性的——他们在自由的时候重复犯罪。如果被逮捕,罪犯可能会被错误地宣告无罪。同样,无辜的人也可能被逮捕并被错误地定罪。研究发现,在合理条件下,两种类型的判决错误对最优量刑的影响是相反的。刑期应该随着错误定罪的风险而减少,随着错误无罪释放的风险而增加。
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A Note on Optimal Sentencing with Recurring Crime and Adjudication Errors
We analyze optimal sentence length for recurring crimes in the face of adjudication errors. We develop an infinite-horizon model where offenders are habitual---they repeat crimes whenever free. If apprehended, criminals may be wrongfully acquitted. Similarly, innocent persons may be apprehended and wrongfully convicted. The key finding is that, under reasonable conditions, the two types of adjudication errors have opposite effects on optimum sentencing. Sentence length should decrease with the risk of wrongful convictions, and increase with the risk of wrongful acquittals.
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