基于深度学习行为模式分析的客户流失预测模型

Sanket Agrawal, Aditya Das, Amit Gaikwad, Sudhir Dhage
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引用次数: 17

摘要

客户流失是指客户终止与公司的关系。用来估计增长的流失率,现在被视为与财务利润一样重要的指标。随着市场竞争的加剧,公司都在拼命保持尽可能低的流失率。因此,流失预测变得至关重要,不仅对现有客户,而且对预测未来客户的趋势。本文演示了使用深度学习方法预测电信数据集的流失。设计了多层神经网络来建立非线性分类模型。流失预测模型适用于客户特性、支持特性、使用特性和上下文特性。预测了客户流失的可能性和决定因素。经过训练的模型然后对这些特征应用最终权重,并预测该客户流失的可能性。准确度达到80.03%。由于该模型还提供了流失因素,它可以被公司用来分析这些因素的原因,并采取措施消除它们。
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Customer Churn Prediction Modelling Based on Behavioural Patterns Analysis using Deep Learning
Customer churn refers to when a customer ceases their relationship with a company. A churn rate, used to estimate growth, is now considered as important a metric as financial profit. With growing competition in the market, companies are desperate to keep the churn rate as low as possible. Thus, churn prediction has gained critical importance, not just for existing customers, but also for predicting trends of future customers. This paper demonstrates prediction of churn on a Telco dataset using a Deep Learning Approach. A multilayered Neural Network was designed to build a non-linear classification model. The churn prediction model works on customer features, support features, usage features and contextual features. The possibility of churn as well as the determining factors are predicted. The trained model then applies the final weights on these features and predict the possibility of churn for that customer. An accuracy of 80.03% was achieved. Since the model also provides the churn factors, it can be used by companies to analyze the reasons for these factors and take steps to eliminate them.
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