坦桑尼亚外商直接投资与经济增长的实证研究

Vincent Gibogwe, Ayine R.S. NIGO, Karen Kufuor
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在过去三十年中,坦桑尼亚的外国直接投资流入继续出现前所未有的增长。通过对1980-2020年坦桑尼亚数据的向量误差修正模型(VECM),我们发现了短期和长期经济增长与外国直接投资净流入之间的双因果关系。结果表明,在坦桑尼亚,外国直接投资与收入增加有关;同时,经济增长最终导致FDI的产生,并引发FDI的流动。此外,我们的结果显示变量之间存在很强的(正)关系,这意味着外国直接投资(FDI)显著影响该国的金融流入。我们认为,发达和富有成效的地方能力最终将受益于外国直接投资。尽管如此,这只有通过向外国公司提供激励措施才能实现,这样它们才能向其他部门提供积极的溢出效应。
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Empirical Research on Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Tanzania
Tanzania has continued to experience an unprecedented increase in Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows for the past three decades. Using a vector error correction model (VECM) on data on Tanzania for the 1980–2020 period, we find the bi-causality between economic growth and FDI net inflows in the short and long run. The results imply that in Tanzania, FDI is associated with an increase in income; at the same time, economic growth leads to FDI eventually and stirs movements in FDI. In addition, our results show a strong (positive) relationship between the variables, which means that foreign direct investments (FDI) significantly impact the country's financial inflows. We believe that a well-developed and productive local capacity will eventually benefit from FDI. Nonetheless, this is only possible through the provision of incentives to foreign firms so that they may provide positive spill overs to other sectors.
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