二手车市场中使用Web抓取和机器学习算法的价格预测

Seda Yilmaz, Ihsan Hakan Selvi
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摘要

随着技术的发展,数据流量和数据量日益增加。因此,收集和解释数据变得非常重要。本研究旨在通过使用机器学习算法分析使用网络抓取技术收集的汽车销售数据,并创建价格估计模型。使用Selenium和BeautifulSoup收集分析所需的数据,并通过各种数据预处理步骤准备分析。使用Lasso回归和PCA分析进行特征选择和尺寸缩减,使用GridSearchCV方法进行超参数调整。使用机器学习算法对结果进行评估。采用随机森林、k近邻、梯度Boost、AdaBoost、支持向量和XGBoost回归算法进行分析。对所得分析结果进行均方误差(MSE)、均方根误差(RMSE)和决定系数(R-square)评价。当对数据集1的结果进行检验时,给出最佳结果的模型是XGBoost Regression, R2为0.973,MSE为0.026,RMSE为0.161。当对数据集2的结果进行检验时,给出最佳结果的模型是k -最近邻回归,R2为0.978,MSE为0.021,RMSE为0.145。
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Price Prediction Using Web Scraping and Machine Learning Algorithms in the Used Car Market
The development of technology increases data traffic and data size day by day. Therefore, it has become very important to collect and interpret data. This study, it is aimed to analyze the car sales data collected using web scraping techniques by using machine learning algorithms and to create a price estimation model. The data needed for analysis was collected using Selenium and BeautifulSoup and prepared for analysis by applying various data preprocessing steps. Lasso regression and PCA analysis were used for feature selection and size reduction, and the GridSearchCV method was used for hyperparameter tuning. The results were evaluated with machine learning algorithms. Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbor, Gradient Boost, AdaBoost, Support Vector and XGBoost regression algorithms were used in the analysis. The obtained analysis results were evaluated together with Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Coefficient of Determination (R-square). When the results for data set 1 were examined, the model that gave the best results was XGBoost Regression with 0.973 R2, 0.026 MSE and 0.161 RMSE values. When the results for data set 2 were examined, the model that gave the best results was K-Nearest Neighbor Regression with 0.978 R2, 0.021 MSE and 0.145 RMSE values.
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