海军沿海海洋模型的全球河流流入

C. Barron, L. Smedstad
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引用次数: 20

摘要

推动美国海军全球模型发展的主要问题之一是提高在大陆架和近岸地区的性能和嵌套支持,并在全球任何地方具有短时间适用性。海军沿海海洋模型(NCOM)的全球实施是满足这一需求的一些努力的产物。Global NCOM的目的之一是提供初始化、嵌套和评估固定和可重新定位的沿海海洋模型的全局能力。为了支持这一目标,需要一个河流流量估计数据库。Perry et al.(1996)首先对全球981条最大河流的年平均河流流量进行了估计。然而,许多河流表现出强烈的季节性变化,我们希望在我们的海洋模型中反映出来。通过使用多种互联网资源和已发布的数据集,我们对Perry(1996)数据进行了扩展,以提供月度平均河流流量的全球数据库,并将这些数据纳入全球和嵌套的NCOM运行中。如果没有足够的数据来构建月平均值,则从附近的河流中推算出一个季节周期,并按比例换算成适当的年平均值。美国以外的河流几乎没有实时流量的常规数据,因此在大多数地区,月度平均值可能是对实时流量进行分析和预测的最合适的估计。每月的河流流出量可以更准确地反映海岸线附近地区的季节性情况。季节性特别影响极地地区,那里的河流流量在冬季可能变得相当小,而在夏季融化季节则相当大。美国地质勘探局对选定的美国河流的多年每日观测数据用于量化按月平均与多年平均估算日流量的改进。案例研究考察了河流输入对NCOM的影响。
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Global river inflow with Navy Coastal Ocean Model
One of the primary concerns driving the development of U.S. Navy global models has been improved performance and nesting support in shelf and nearshore regions with short notice applicability anywhere on the globe. A global implementation of the Navy Coastal Ocean Model (NCOM) is a product of some of the efforts to meet this need. One purpose of Global NCOM is to provide a global capability for initializing, nesting, and evaluating fixed and relocatable coastal ocean models. In support of that objective, a database of river flow estimates is needed. Perry et al. (1996) provides a start with estimates of annual mean river discharges for 981 of the largest global rivers. However, many rivers exhibit a strong seasonal variability, which we would like to reflect in our ocean models. Through the use of multiple Internet sources and published data sets we have expanded on the Perry (1996) data to provide a global database of monthly mean river discharge and incorporated this data in global and nested NCOM runs. Where sufficient data is unavailable to construct monthly means, a seasonal cycle is imputed from nearby rivers and scaled to the appropriate annual mean. Real time discharge rates are routinely available for almost no rivers outside of the United States, so a monthly mean is likely to be the most appropriate estimate of real time flow for analyses and forecasts in most areas. The monthly river outflow can contribute to more accurate seasonal representation of areas near coastlines. Seasonality particularly affects the polar areas, where river outflow can become quite small during winter months and quite large during the summer melting season. Multiannual daily USGS observations for selected US rivers are used to quantify the improvement in estimation of daily flow by the monthly means versus a multiannual mean. Case studies examine the impact of river input into NCOM.
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