两种近似观测费雪信息的方法的相对精度

Shenghan Guo, J. Spall
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引用次数: 3

摘要

费雪信息矩阵(FIM)长期以来一直在统计学和其他领域受到关注。它被广泛用于最大似然估计(MLE)的信息量度量和方差下界的计算。在实践中,我们并不总是知道实际的FIM。这通常是因为很难获得对数似然函数的一阶二阶导数,或者仅仅是因为FIM的计算过于艰巨。在这种情况下,我们需要利用FIM的近似。一般来说,有两种估算FIM的方法。一种是利用梯度与自身转置的乘积,另一种是计算黑森矩阵,然后取负号。大多数人在实践中使用后一种方法。然而,这并不一定是最佳方式。为了找出这两种方法中哪一种更好,我们需要进行理论研究来比较它们的效率。在本文中,我们主要研究需要用MLE估计的未知参数是标量,并且我们拥有的随机变量是独立的情况。在这个场景中,FIM实际上是Fisher信息数(FIN)。利用中心极限定理(CLT),得到了两种方法的渐近方差,并比较了它们的精度。泰勒展开有助于估计两个渐近方差。最后给出了一个数值研究作为结论的例证。其次是对本文局限性的总结。在本文的最后,我们还列举了几个值得进一步研究的领域。
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Relative accuracy of two methods for approximating observed Fisher information
The Fisher information matrix (FIM) has long been of interest in statistics and other areas. It is widely used to measure the amount of information and calculate the lower bound for the variance for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). In practice, we do not always know the actual FIM. This is often because obtaining the firstor second-order derivative of the log-likelihood function is difficult, or simply because the calculation of FIM is too formidable. In such cases, we need to utilize the approximation of FIM. In general, there are two ways to estimate FIM. One is to use the product of gradient and the transpose of itself, and the other is to calculate the Hessian matrix and then take negative sign. Mostly people use the latter method in practice. However, this is not necessarily the optimal way. To find out which of the two methods is better, we need to conduct a theoretical study to compare their efficiency. In this paper, we mainly focus on the case where the unknown parameter that needs to be estimated by MLE is scalar, and the random variables we have are independent. In this scenario, FIM is virtually Fisher information number (FIN). Using the Central Limit Theorem (CLT), we get asymptotic variances for the two methods, by which we compare their accuracy. Taylor expansion assists in estimating the two asymptotic variances. A numerical study is provided as an illustration of the conclusion. The next is a summary of limitations of this paper. We also enumerate several fields of interest for future study in the end of this paper.
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