南亚的汇款和银行业发展

Abdullah M. Noman, G. Uddin
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引用次数: 23

摘要

本文研究了向国外输出大量劳动力的四个南亚国家的外国汇款、银行业发展和GDP之间的相互作用。基于误差修正模型的多元格兰杰因果检验采用1976 - 2005年的数据。该论文的一个重要发现是,汇款和银行业的发展影响着所有四个南亚国家的人均收入。此外,还在面板设置中检查了变量之间的相互作用。与个别国家的分析一样,汇款和银行部门的发展对南亚国家的国民收入都有积极和重大的影响。另一方面,国内产品和银行业的进步对汇款流量都没有显著影响。这是关于汇款与经济发展之间联系的新发现,这在输出劳动力的国家可能也很明显。
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REMITTANCES AND BANKING SECTOR DEVELOPMENT IN SOUTH ASIA
The paper investigates the interaction among foreign remittance, banking sector development and GDP in four South Asian nations that export huge pools of labour abroad. Multivariate Granger causality tests, based on error correction models, are employed with data spanning from 1976 to 2005. A key finding of the paper is that remittances and banking sector development influence per capita income in all four South Asian nations. In addition, interactions among the variables are also examined in a panel setting. As in individual country analyses, both remittance and banking sector development have positive and significant influences on the national income of South Asian countries. On the other hand, neither domestic products nor advancement in banking sector have significant impact on the remittance flows. This is new findings of the linkage between remittances and economic development, which may also be evident for countries exporting labour pools.
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