温度敏感性分析评估及温度回归模型预测季节性银行负荷模式

Minghao Piao, J. Park, H. Lee, Jin Shin, Duck JinChai, K. Ryu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文的目的是通过求解银行负荷模式的温度回归模型和温度敏感性依赖于温度变化来探讨空调负荷管理的潜力。负荷调查系统已应用于韩国电力系统抽样银行的负荷记录。为了分析温度升高对银行负荷数据的影响,我们对银行负荷数据进行了统计多项式回归和温度敏感性分析。在此之前,我们对数据进行了预处理,使数据清晰。研究发现,周时间比周末更敏感,当温度偏离主趋势较小时,回归模型对负荷模式的预测精度更高。
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Assessment of Temperature Sensitivity Analysis and Temperature Regression Model for Predicting Seasonal Bank Load Patterns
The aim of this paper is to investigate the potential of air conditioning load management by solve the temperature regression model of load patterns for Banks and the temperature sensitivity depends on temperature change. The load survey system has been applied to record the Bank load of sampling Banks in Korea power system. To analyze the impact of temperature rise to the Bank load data, we executed statistic polynomial regression and the temperature sensitivity analysis on the Bank load data. Before that, we applied data preprocessing to make the data clear. It found that the week time is more sensitive than weekend and when the temperature is less deviated from the main tendency, the regression model can predict the load patterns with higher accuracy.
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