飞机二级生命周期成本估算

Xiao-qian Zhao, W. Verhagen, R. Curran
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在综合飞机设计和分析实践中,全寿命周期成本(LCC)是决策的关键。飞机的低成本成本通常是通过强调特定的成本类型来部分估算的。但是,没有提供LCC的概述,包括设计和开发成本,生产成本,运营成本和处置成本。这可能会产生有偏差的成本估算。此外,飞机LCC估计在很大程度上依赖于输入参数的可用性。对于分析师来说,在详细的成本估算过程中提供有限的一组数据通常是一个问题。因此,有必要在根据数据可访问性进行高级和详细级别LCC评估时提供灵活性。提出了一种输入依赖的双水平LCC估计方法。它说明了成本成本控制中成本要素的综合估计,并明确定义了高层次和细节层面的分析,以形成最终成本。产品和生命周期过程的知识是基于预定义的元模型和逻辑规则构建的。然后通过遍历与计算能力相关联的元模型来评估成本。将该方法应用于A330-200飞机的案例分析。在权重估计和自下而上的基于过程的参数成本估算方法的支持下,建立了一种量化低成本成本对产品生命周期影响的实用成本计算方法。
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Aircraft Bi-level Life Cycle Cost Estimation
n an integrated aircraft design and analysis practice, Life Cycle Cost (LCC) is essential for decision making. The LCC of an aircraft is ordinarily partially estimated by emphasizing a specific cost type. However, an overview of the LCC including design and development cost, production cost, operating cost and disposal cost is not provided. This may produce biased cost estimates. Moreover, aircraft LCC estimation is largely dependent on the availability of input parameters. It is often a problem for the analyst to supply a limited group of data into a detailed cost estimation process. Therefore, it is necessary to provide flexibility in conducting both high level and detail level LCC assessments based on the data accessibility. An input-dependent bi-level LCC estimation method is proposed. It illustrates the comprehensive estimation of the cost elements in the LCC with clearly defined high level and detail level analyses to form the final cost. Knowledge of the product and the life cycle process are structured based on a pre-defined meta model and logic rules. Cost is then evaluated by traversing the meta model linked with computing capabilities. This method is applied on a case study concerning A330-200 aircraft. With the support of weight estimation and bottom-up process-based parametric cost estimation methods, it builds up a practical costing approach in quantifying the influence of LCC to the product life cycle.
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