具有一般线性结构和发散参数的协方差模型

Xinyan Fan, Wei Lan, Tao Zou, Chih-Ling Tsai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了估计有限样本量下的大协方差矩阵,我们提出了具有一般线性结构的协方差模型(CMGL),该模型采用一般链接函数将连续响应向量的协方差与权矩阵的线性组合连接起来。在不假设响应分布的情况下,允许与权矩阵相关的参数个数发散,得到了参数的拟极大似然估计量,并证明了它们的渐近性质。此外,提出了一种扩展的贝叶斯信息准则(EBIC)来选择相关的权重矩阵,并证明了EBIC的一致性。在恒等链函数下,引入了具有封闭形式的普通最小二乘估计量(OLS)。因此,与QMLE相比,它的计算量减少了,并对OLS的理论性质进行了研究。为了评估链接函数的充分性,我们进一步提出了拟似然比检验,并得到了它的极限分布。本文提出了模拟研究来评估所提出方法的性能,并通过对美国股票市场的分析说明了广义协方差模型的有用性。
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Covariance Model with General Linear Structure and Divergent Parameters
For estimating the large covariance matrix with a limited sample size, we propose the covariance model with general linear structure (CMGL) by employing the general link function to connect the covariance of the continuous response vector to a linear combination of weight matrices. Without assuming the distribution of responses, and allowing the number of parameters associated with weight matrices to diverge, we obtain the quasi-maximum likelihood estimators (QMLE) of parameters and show their asymptotic properties. In addition, an extended Bayesian information criteria (EBIC) is proposed to select relevant weight matrices, and the consistency of EBIC is demonstrated. Under the identity link function, we introduce the ordinary least squares estimator (OLS) that has the closed form. Hence, its computational burden is reduced compared to QMLE, and the theoretical properties of OLS are also investigated. To assess the adequacy of the link function, we further propose the quasi-likelihood ratio test and obtain its limiting distribution. Simulation studies are presented to assess the performance of the proposed methods, and the usefulness of generalized covariance models is illustrated by an analysis of the US stock market.
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