电力行业风险评估:当前实践

S. Eroshenko, A. Bramm, E. Zinovieva, Olga S. Vozisova
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摘要

本文讨论了电力公司在市场关系中相互作用的主要风险类型。第二章根据技术风险形成的概率及其后果的程度对企业技术风险进行了分类。第三章描述了实用程序生命周期的主要阶段。第四章阐述了公用事业各类风险分析与评估的基本方法。第五章采用专家评估法、SWOT分析法和STEP分析法对某电网公司进行了综合分析和风险评估。俄罗斯联邦最大的电网公司之一被选为分析对象。通过对电网公司的风险分析,确定了评估电网公司生命周期各阶段风险的最合适方法。并根据电网公司的分析和风险评估结果,提出了构建电力公司风险管理体系的思路。
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Power Industry Risk Assessment: Current Practices
This paper discusses the main types of risks associated with electric power companies in the context of their interaction within the market relations. The second chapter provides a classification of companies' technological risks based on the probability of their formation and the degree of their consequences. The third chapter describes the main stages of the utilities” life cycle. The fourth chapter describes the basic methods for analyzing and assessing various types of risks for utilities. In the fifth chapter, the authors present a comprehensive analysis and risks assessment of a grid company based on expert assessments and SWOT and STEP analysis. One of the largest grid companies in the Russian Federation was selected as an object for analysis. As a result of the risk analysis of the grid company, the most appropriate approaches to assessing the company's risks for each stage of its life cycle have been identified. The authors also proposed approaches to building a risk management system for electric power companies, based on the results of the grid company's analysis and risk assessment.
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