数字货币间金融波动溢出效应研究(基于多元GARCH方法的应用)

Naeim Shokri, Morteza Sahab Khodamoradi, Amir hossein Hajiloo moghadam
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摘要

虚拟货币是一种新兴的现象,可以认为是网络空间在人类生活中的渗透和扩展的结果之一。在没有银行和金融机构等中介机构存在的情况下,促进金融交易可以被视为创造虚拟货币的目标之一。本研究的目的是探讨比特币作为最大数字货币的波动性溢出对其他数字货币的影响。在本研究中,将变量转换为里亚尔货币,以同时反映里亚尔的波动。这种分析的一个组成部分是确定受价格泡沫和比特币价格暴跌影响最大的数字货币。本研究结果表明,比特币在数字货币中分别比Dogecoin和dash波动幅度最大,并且从其他高交易价值的数字货币中获得溢出。根据本研究的结果,数字货币市场的泡沫表明市场是非理性的,由于现有溢出的影响,可能会蔓延到国内金融市场,造成很大的波动。
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Investigating the effects of financial volatility spillover between digital currencies (application of multivariate GARCH approach)
Virtual money is one of the emerging phenomena that can be considered as one of the results of the penetration and expansion of cyberspace in human life. Facilitating financial transactions without the presence of intermediaries such as banks and financial institutions can be considered as one of the goals of creating virtual money. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of volatility spillover from Bitcoin as the largest digital currency on other digital currencies. In this study, the variables were converted into Rial currency to reflect Rial fluctuations simultaneously. One component of this analysis is identifying the digital currencies that have been most affected by the price bubbles and the free fall of bitcoin prices. The findings of the present study show that Bitcoin has the highest fluctuations on Dogecoin and dash among digital currencies, respectively, and it receives overflow from other digital currencies that have high transaction value. According to the results of the present study, the bubbles in the digital currency market show that the market is irrational and due to the effects of the existing overflow, it may spread to domestic financial markets and cause a lot of fluctuations.
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