{"title":"英国前瞻指引与量化宽松意外的识别","authors":"Derin Aksit","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3657561","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Using intraday data, I separately identify the Bank of England's forward guidance and quantitative easing surprises during the effective lower bound period in the UK. Then, I estimate asset price responses to these unconventional monetary policies. I show that both surprises significantly move gilt yields and term premia on days of monetary policy announcements. However, their impact persists for only a few months. I further document that only forward guidance is effective in moving stock prices and their volatility. While both surprises influence the British pound, the impact of forward guidance persists for at least six months.","PeriodicalId":344099,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Banking & Monetary Policy (Topic)","volume":"163 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Identification of the Forward Guidance and QE Surprises in the UK\",\"authors\":\"Derin Aksit\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3657561\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Using intraday data, I separately identify the Bank of England's forward guidance and quantitative easing surprises during the effective lower bound period in the UK. Then, I estimate asset price responses to these unconventional monetary policies. I show that both surprises significantly move gilt yields and term premia on days of monetary policy announcements. However, their impact persists for only a few months. I further document that only forward guidance is effective in moving stock prices and their volatility. While both surprises influence the British pound, the impact of forward guidance persists for at least six months.\",\"PeriodicalId\":344099,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"ERN: Banking & Monetary Policy (Topic)\",\"volume\":\"163 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-05-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"ERN: Banking & Monetary Policy (Topic)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3657561\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ERN: Banking & Monetary Policy (Topic)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3657561","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
利用盘中数据,我分别确定了英国央行(Bank of England)的前瞻指引和量化宽松政策在英国有效下限期间的意外之处。然后,我估计资产价格对这些非常规货币政策的反应。我表明,在货币政策宣布的日子里,这两个意外都显著影响了英国国债收益率和期限溢价。然而,它们的影响只会持续几个月。我进一步证明,只有前瞻性指导是有效的股票价格及其波动。虽然这两个意外都会影响英镑,但前瞻指引的影响至少会持续六个月。
Identification of the Forward Guidance and QE Surprises in the UK
Using intraday data, I separately identify the Bank of England's forward guidance and quantitative easing surprises during the effective lower bound period in the UK. Then, I estimate asset price responses to these unconventional monetary policies. I show that both surprises significantly move gilt yields and term premia on days of monetary policy announcements. However, their impact persists for only a few months. I further document that only forward guidance is effective in moving stock prices and their volatility. While both surprises influence the British pound, the impact of forward guidance persists for at least six months.