价格响应性的发现——电力动态定价实验综述

A. Faruqui, J. Palmer
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引用次数: 72

摘要

本文对126个电力动态定价和分时电价的定价实验结果进行了分析。这些实验在过去十年的不同时间在三大洲进行。其中74个实验的数据足够完整,使我们能够确定高峰与非高峰价格比率的强度与高峰需求或需求响应的相关减少之间的关系。我们的分析中出现了一条“价格响应弧线”,表明需求响应的数量随着价格比率的上升而上升,但以下降的速度上升。我们还发现,大约一半的需求响应变化可以用价格比率的变化来解释。这是一个显著的结果,因为实验在许多其他方面都有所不同——气候、时间段、高峰时期的长度、每个地区的定价创新历史,以及向客户推销动态定价设计的方式。我们还发现,诸如家用显示器、能量球、可编程和通信恒温器等使能技术提高了需求响应的数量。本文的结果支持了动态定价和使用时间定价的广泛推广。
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The Discovery of Price Responsiveness – A Survey of Experiments Involving Dynamic Pricing of Electricity
This paper surveys the results from 126 pricing experiments with dynamic pricing and time-of-use pricing of electricity. These experiments have been carried out across three continents at various times during the past decade. Data from 74 of these experiments are sufficiently complete to allow us to identify the relationship between the strength of the peak to off-peak price ratio and the associated reduction in peak demand or demand response. An “arc of price responsiveness” emerges from our analysis, showing that the amount of demand response rises with the price ratio but at a decreasing rate. We also find that about half of the variation in demand response can be explained by variations in the price ratio. This is a remarkable result, since the experiments vary in many other respects – climate, time period, the length of the peak period, the history of pricing innovation in each area, and the manner in which the dynamic pricing designs were marketed to customers. We also find that enabling technologies such as in-home displays, energy orbs and programmable and communicating thermostats boost the amount of demand response. The results of the paper support the case for widespread rollout of dynamic pricing and time-of-use pricing.
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