阿片类药物危机对市政财政的影响

K. Cornaggia, John E. Hund, Giang Nguyen, Zihan Ye
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引用次数: 32

摘要

我们调查阿片类药物滥用对市政财政的影响。我们采用工具变量、边界不连续差中差回归和粗化精确匹配来识别一致的因果效应,同时控制经济条件和人口统计学的变化。阿片类药物滥用会降低信用评级,增加新发行债券的收益率,并减少债券发行。有效的抗阿片类药物立法后这些影响的逆转进一步支持因果关系。由于投资者异质性造成的差异效应表明,阿片类药物滥用通过资本供应渠道影响市政财政。总的来说,我们得出结论,当地阿片类药物滥用阻碍了市政当局获得资金,从而损害了他们提供公共服务和基础设施的能力。
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Opioid Crisis Effects On Municipal Finance
We investigate the effects of opioid abuse on municipal finance. We employ instrumental variables, border discontinuity difference-in-differences regressions, and coarsened exact matching to identify consistent causal effects, while controlling for variation in economic conditions and demographics. Opioid abuse lowers credit ratings, increases new offer yields, and reduces bond issuance. Reversal of these effects following effective antiopioid legislation further supports causality. Differential effects due to investor heterogeneity suggest that opioid abuse affects municipal finance through a capital supply channel. Overall, we conclude that local opioid abuse impedes municipalities’ access to capital and thus hurts their ability to provide public services and infrastructure.
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