考虑故障相关性的软件可靠性模型参数估计

Bo Yang, Suchang Guo, Ning Ning, Hongzhong Huang
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引用次数: 4

摘要

现有的许多软件可靠性模型都是基于连续软件故障之间的统计独立性假设。实际上,这个假设很容易被违背。近年来,人们努力放宽这种不切实际的假设,Goseva-Popstojanova和Trivedi开发了一个考虑故障相关性的软件可靠性建模框架。然而,对于所提出的建模框架在实际应用中至关重要的一些问题,如模型参数的估计方法,还没有得到研究。本文研究了软件可靠性建模框架的参数估计问题。我们提出了模型参数之间的关系函数,这对于减少需要估计的参数数量以及使用所提出的建模框架进行可靠性预测至关重要。利用极大似然估计(MLE)方法,根据不同类型的可用数据,提出了两种参数估计方法。仿真结果初步表明,两种估计方法的精度都令人满意。
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Parameter estimation for software reliability models considering failure correlation
Many existing software reliability models are based on the assumption of statistical independence among successive software failures. In reality, this assumption could be easily violated. In recent years, efforts have been made to relax this unrealistic assumption and a software reliability modeling framework considering failure correlation was developed by Goseva-Popstojanova and Trivedi. However, some important issues that are crucial to the proposed modeling framework to be used in practice remain unstudied, such as the method of estimation of model parameters. In this paper, we study the parameter estimation problem for the software reliability modeling framework developed in. We propose a relationship function among model parameters which could be essential to the reduction of the number of parameters to be estimated as well as to the reliability prediction using the proposed modeling framework. Two parameter estimation methods are developed based on deferent types of data available, using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method. Simulation results preliminarily show that the accuracy of both proposed estimation methods seem to be satisfactory.
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