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引用次数: 19
摘要
产损预测对太阳能光伏发电系统的高效规划和运行具有重要意义。太阳能光伏系统的性能取决于给定系统中的地理位置、系统设计、水平和太阳能电池板的朝向。有几种预测工具可供专业人员使用,用于有效地规划和预测并网和独立的太阳能光伏系统。本文建立了安装在斋浦尔普尔尼玛大学的100kwp并网太阳能光伏发电系统的等效数学模型。利用光伏系统设计工具对等效模型的性能参数、产量和损耗进行了预测。合成了月产量和损失以及年产量和损失。为了对预测数据进行性能评估,我们将4月份的预测产量与Sunny Web Box记录的实际数据进行了比较。预测数据可以作为分析地点和季节特定损失的重要工具。仿真数据与实际实验数据的对比分析对于预测与预测工具相关的公差和误差具有重要意义。
Design simulation and performance assessment of yield and loss forecasting for 100 KWp grid connected solar PV system
Yield and loss forecasting plays a significant role in efficient planning and operation of solar photovoltaic system. Performance of solar photovoltaic system depends on geographical location, system design, horizon, and orientation of solar panels in the given system. Several forecasting tools are available which are used by professionals for efficient planning and forecasting of grid connected as well as standalone solar photovoltaic system. In this paper we have developed equivalent mathematical model for 100 KWp grid connected solar photovoltaic system has been developed which is installed at Poornima University, Jaipur. Performance parameters, Yield and losses has been forecasted for equivalent model by help of PV Syst design tool. Monthly yield and losses as well as yearly yield and losses have been synthesized. For performance assessment of the forecasted data, we have compared forecasted yield for the month of April with the real data recorded from Sunny Web Box. Forecasted data can serve as important tool for analyzing location and seasonal specific losses. Comparative analysis of simulated data with real experimental data is important for predicting tolerance and error related with forecasting tool.