债券违约是信用评级的纵容吗——对中国债券市场的分析

Xudong Zhuang, Yu Wu
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摘要

通过对2015 - 2020年中国市场违约现状和信用评级现状的分析,我们发现信用评级与债券违约之间存在着相同的趋势。由于商业模式、附属业务、公开信息评级、同业竞争等方面的利益冲突,严重影响了信用评级的质量,从而导致违约。因此,我们从利益冲突的角度来解释这种倾向的原因。本文还提出了一些避免违约问题和完善信用评级机构评级的建议,以促进债券市场的健康发展,防范债券市场带来的系统性风险。因此,本研究系统地总结了导致评级膨胀的利益冲突问题,丰富了相关文献。
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Are Bond Defaults with the Connivance of Credit Rating: An Analysis of China’s Bond Market
We find that there is a same tendency between credit ratings and bond defaults by analyzing the status quo of defaults in Chinese market and credit ratings from 2015 to 2020. Caused by the interest conflicts of business models, ancillary business, public information ratings and horizontal competition, the quality of credit rating is badly impacted, thus resulting in the defaults. Therefore, we explain the reasons for such a tendency from interest conflict perspectives. We also offer some proposals to avoid default problems and improve the ratings provided by credit rating agencies, so as to promote the healthy development of bond market and preventing the systemic risks that bond market brings. Consequently, our study systematically concludes the interest conflict problems that lead to rating inflation and enriches related literature.
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