分析部门资本流动

Etienne Lepers, Rogelio V. Mercado
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摘要

本文收集了2000- 2018年间64个发达经济体和新兴经济体的综合部门资本流动数据集。这包括对五个部门的直接、组合和其他投资:中央银行(CB)、一般政府(GG)、银行(BKs)、非金融企业(nfc)和其他金融企业(OFCs),以及对这些部门施加的资本管制的相应数据集。本文使用这些数据来检验部门方法在评估资本流动协变量、共同运动和资本管制有效性方面的有用性。研究结果表明:1)私营部门流动对全球金融状况和产出增长的周期性具有不同的敏感性。例如,与其他流动不同,nfc对全球大宗商品价格做出反应,而不是对全球风险厌恶做出反应;与银行不同,OFCs在国内投资期间削减外国投资;2)居民和非居民OFC部门流动的共同运动增加了已观察到的总流入和流出之间的正相关关系;3)加强对国家金融中心和离岸金融中心的资本管制似乎有效地减少了流向这些部门的资金量。
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Analysing sectoral capital flows
This paper assembles a comprehensive sectoral capital flows dataset for 64 advanced and emerging economies from 2000-18. This includes direct, portfolio and other investments to and from five sectors: central banks (CB), general government (GG), banks (BKs), non-financial corporates (NFCs) and other financial corporates (OFCs) and a corresponding dataset on capital controls imposed on these sectors. The paper uses this data to examine the usefulness of a sectoral approach in assessing capital flow covariates, co-movements, and the effectiveness of capital controls. The findings show that: 1) private sectoral flows have varying sensitivities to global financial conditions and different cyclicality with respect to output growth. For instance, unlike other flows, NFCs respond to global commodity prices but not global risk aversion and, unlike banks, OFCs cut foreign investment in periods of domestic investment; 2) co-movements of resident and non-resident OFC sectoral flows add to the observed positive correlation between gross inflows and outflows; and, 3) the tightening of capital controls on NFCs and OFCs appear effective in reducing the volume of flows to these sectors.
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