大转型

Richard Straub
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引用次数: 1

摘要

托马斯·杰斐逊:“每一代人都需要一场新的革命。”然而,德鲁克很快明确表示,尽管他非常钦佩杰斐逊,但这一评论是错误的。德鲁克指出,我们在近代史上目睹的大多数革命,实际上都未能实现它们的承诺。正如法国哲学家和政治理论家托克维尔(Alexis de Tocqueville)所指出的,革命不会摧毁旧政权的监狱;他们倾向于扩大它们。通常导致革命的条件首先是压迫性的领导,破产的思想和制度,最重要的是,社会无法自我更新。在不经历革命动荡的情况下实现大规模社会变革显然是更好的选择。术语“转换”恰当地描述了这种优选路径。我们今天面临的一个关键问题是,西方世界是否有能力以实现增长和繁荣的方式进行自我转型,而不是无情地走向社会和经济衰退,并很可能在此过程中经历公民反抗的痛苦创伤。
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The Great Transformation
Thomas Jefferson: “Every generation needs a new revolution.” However, Drucker quickly makes it clear that, as much as he admires Jefferson, this comment is off the mark. Drucker notes that most of the revolutions we have witnessed in recent history have, in fact, failed to deliver what they promised. As French philosopher and political theorist Alexis de Tocqueville pointed out, revolutions do not demolish the prisons of the old regime; they tend to enlarge them. The conditions that typically lead to revolution in the first place are oppressive leadership, bankrupt ideas and institutions, and, above all, society’s failure to renew itself. Achieving large-scale social change without going through the upheaval of a revolution is obviously the better option. The term “transformation” aptly describes this preferable path. A key question we face today is whether the Western world has the capacity to transform itself in ways that will achieve growth and prosperity, rather than to move inexorably toward social and economic decline and, quite possibly, experience the wrenching trauma of a citizens’ revolt along the way.
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