评估银行内部和宏观经济因素作为不良贷款的决定因素:来自尼泊尔商业银行的证据

B. Bhattarai
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本研究试图确定影响尼泊尔商业银行不良贷款的因素,使用2013-2017年期间10家商业银行的样本,50个观察值,一组平衡的面板数据。本研究采用了描述性和因果性的比较研究设计。因变量为不良贷款,自变量包括银行特定因素;银行规模、资产收益率、贷款总额与存款总额之比、资本充足率及宏观经济因素;实际国内生产总值增长率和通货膨胀率。高水平不良贷款的存在将阻碍通过低效的金融中介给国家带来的好处。因此,国家层面对银行负有责任,将不良贷款率控制在可接受的水平。因此,确定“不良贷款的成因以及这些因素对不良贷款的影响”非常重要。因此,本研究将有助于深入了解影响商业银行不良贷款的银行特定因素和宏观经济因素,以及银行特定因素或宏观经济因素对不良贷款的影响程度。估计的普通最小二乘(OLS)回归模型显示,银行特定的:ROA, LTD和CAR以及宏观经济因素GDP对尼泊尔商业银行的不良贷款有显著影响。
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Assessing Banks Internal and Macroeconomic Factors as Determinants of Non- Performing Loans: Evidence from Nepalese Commercial Banks
This study has attempted to ascertain the factors affecting to non-performing loans in Nepalese commercial banks using a sample of ten commercial banks for the period of 2013-2017 with 50 observations, a balanced set of panel data. The descriptive and causal comparative research designs have been adopted for the study. The dependent variable was non-performing loans, while independent variables included both bank specific factors; bank size, return on assets, total loan and advance to total deposit ratio, capital adequacy ratio and macro-economic factors; real gross domestic product growth rate and inflation. The existence of high levels of NPLs would hinder the benefits to the county through inefficient financial intermediation. Hence, there is a national level responsibility towards banks, to manage the NPL ratio at an acceptable level. Consequently, it is important to identify “what causes NPLs and significance of these factors on NPLs”. Therefore, this study would help to get an insight on the bank specific and macro-economic factors, which affect NPLs in commercial banks and in which magnitude bank specific or macroeconomic factors contribute to NPLs. The estimated ordinary least square (OLS) regression model reveals that the bank specific: ROA, LTD and CAR and macroeconomic factors GDP have significant impact on nonperforming loan in Nepalese commercial banks.
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