危机管理中心专家对应急响应的调查结果

Sh. K. Kadiev, Renat Shamil'yevich Khabibulin, Natalya Yuryevna Ryzhenko
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摘要

介绍。及时应对紧急情况是改善俄罗斯应急军事委员会结构管理框架内的一项紧迫任务。数字产品的快速创造和发展的高度需求,数字服务的管理需要对政府机构的组织和职能结构的方法进行重新思考。人工智能模型和算法的快速发展不可避免地导致数字化转型过程,包括在应急响应阶段。为了确定在紧急情况应对阶段存在的问题,为俄罗斯紧急情况应急中心危机管理中心的专家和雇员编写了一份调查问卷。俄罗斯EMERCOM危机管理中心系统为解决许多结构复杂的控制任务提供了一种解决方案。目标和目标。这项工作的目的是确定紧急标准的优先级,以便在知识库中对其进行分类和搜索。为了实现这一目标,有必要对俄罗斯应急委员会危机管理中心的专家就应急领域最广泛的问题进行调查。方法。在工作过程中,对获得的数据进行了统计和离散相关分析。对专家意见进行排名,然后确定其一致性。结果及其讨论。对俄罗斯联邦15个组成实体的俄罗斯EMERCOM危机管理中心的员工(430名专家)进行了调查,分析了调查结果,以获得确定响应力量数量和手段的数据。已获得三类紧急情况标准的优先顺序:运输事故、爆炸(包括随后燃烧的爆炸)和(或)建筑物和结构的破坏(倒塌)、生命维持系统的事故。这一顺序对于在知识库中分类和搜索紧急情况是必要的,以便确定所需的部队数量和反应手段。结论。应用这项工作的结果将能够执行紧急情况分类程序,对其标准进行排序,并确定所需的部队数量和反应手段。关键词:调查、突发事件、危机管理中心、分散相关分析、分类、排序
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Survey results of specialists from crisis management centers on emergency response
Introduction. Timely response to emergency situations is an urgent task in the framework of improving management in the structure of EMERCOM of Russian. The high need for the rapid creation and development of digital products, the management of digital services require a rethinking of approaches to the organizational and functional structures of government bodies. The rapid development of artificial intelligence models and algorithms inevitably leads to digital transformation processes, including at the stage of emergency response. To identify problems at the stage of responding to emergencies, a survey questionnaire was drawn up for specialists and employees of Crisis Management Centers of EMERCOM of Russia. The system of Crisis Management Centers of EMERCOM of Russia provides a solution to many complexly structured control tasks. Targets and goals. The aim of the work is to determine the priority of emergency criteria for their subsequent classification and search in the knowledge base. In order to achieve this goal, it is necessary to conduct a survey of specialists of Crisis Management Centers of EMERCOM of Russia on the widest range of issues in the field of emergency response. Methods. In the course of the work, statistical and dispersion-correlation analysis of the obtained data was carried out. Expert opinions were ranked, after which their consistency was determined. Results and its discussion. Conducted a survey of employees of Crisis Management Centers of EMERCOM of Russia (430 specialists) in 15 constituent entities of the Russian Federation, survey results were analyzed in order to obtain data to determine the number of response forces and means. A priority sequence of criteria has been obtained for three types of emergency situations: transport accidents, explosions (including those with subsequent burning) and (or) destruction (collapse) in buildings and structures, accidents in life support systems. This sequence is necessary to classify and search for emergencies in the knowledge base in order to determine the required number of forces and means to respond. Conclusions. The application of the results of the work will allow carrying out procedures for classifying emergencies, ranking their criteria, as well as determining the required number of forces and means for response. Keywords: survey, emergency, crisis management center, dispersion-correlation analysis, classification, ranking.
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