防灾减灾的政治经济学

Tulin Altun
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引用次数: 1

摘要

社会没有采取适当的行动来转移风险或预防/减轻自然灾害造成的潜在损害。从本质上讲,公共部门必须干预由信息不完善和/或不对称、短视和集体惰性等问题引起的市场失灵。虽然更有效地分配社会资源可以减轻自然灾害对公共财政的财政负担,增加社会福利,但公共部门在这方面也做不到。具体而言,某些政治动机阻碍了有效的自然灾害风险管理,其中一个例子是,由于公共财政的时间不一致问题,政治家更加重视能够促进短期选举支持的政策。如果保障措施的好处在长期内显现出来,而在短期内给选民带来负担,那么政治家们就无法制定足够的法规,也无法在预防自然灾害方面进行必要的投资。因此,他们更喜欢分发救灾物资,因为这样做可以获得选举支持。只有通过建立加强民主责任和提高公众对自然灾害危险的认识的体制机制,才能解决由政治动机引起的问题。
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The Political Economy of Natural Disaster Prevention And Mitigation
Societies do not take adequate action to transfer risk or to prevent/mitigate potential damage caused by natural disasters. Essentially, the public sector must intervene in market failures stemming from such problems as imperfect and/or asymmetric information, myopia, and collective inertia. Although more efficient allocation of social resources reduce the fiscal burden of natural disasters on public finance and increase social welfare, the public sector also fails in this regard. Specifically, certain political motivations prevent effective natural disaster risk management, one example being that politicians, due to the problem of time inconsistency in public finances, attach greater importance to policies that will bolster short-term electoral support. Politicians consequently fail to enact sufficient regulations and make the necessary investments with regard to natural disaster prevention if the safeguard’s benefits manifest in the long term while placing burdens on constituents in the short. As such, they prefer distributing disaster aid as doing so garners election support. Solving the problems stemming from political motivations is only possible by establishing institutional mechanisms that increase democratic accountability and raise public awareness of the risks of natural disasters.
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