童年时期家庭困难对成年劳动力市场结果的因果影响

Emanuele Millemaci, D. Sciulli
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引用次数: 1

摘要

将倾向得分匹配方法应用于英国国家儿童发展研究,我们发现童年时期经历的家庭困难决定了对成年就业概率和工资的长期负面影响。标准计量经济学技术和基于模拟的敏感性分析支持我们的发现。随着记录在案的家庭困难数量的增加,这种不利的程度似乎也在增加。此外,我们发现住房和经济问题对更严重的劣势负责,而家庭成员的残疾和不和谐只有在与其他问题相关时才有统计学意义。最后,这种影响似乎不会随着群体的工作年限而减弱。
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The Causal Effect of Family Difficulties During Childhood on Adult Labour Market Outcomes
Applying a propensity score matching approach to UK National Child Development Study, we find that experiencing family difficulties during childhood determines a negative and long-lasting impact on adult employment probabilities and wage. Standard econometric techniques and simulation based sensitivity analysis support our findings. The intensity of the disadvantage appears to increase with the number of recorded family difficulties. Moreover, we find that housing and economic problems are responsible for the more serious disadvantage, while disability of family members and disharmony act statistically significantly only if associated with other problems. Finally, the effect appears not to decline over the cohort working life.
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