从降低风险到多样化:使结构变化有利于气候适应

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引用次数: 0

摘要

正如前一章所讨论的,许多发展中国家的增长前景已经受到气候冲击的威胁,而且未来还会更糟。适应这些冲击是一项重大的政策挑战。迄今为止,受青睐的方法强调通过各种基于市场的应对措施,以及依靠公共部门作为现有资产的善意保险商,实现“去风险”发展。虽然这些措施可能有助于解决气候冲击的一些直接后果,特别是对弱势群体的影响,但唯一持久的解决办法是通过结构转型进程减少发展中国家对少数气候敏感活动的依赖,从而建立更具弹性的经济。
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From de-risking to diversification: Making structural change work for climate adaptation
As discussed in the previous chapter, growth prospects in many developing countries are already under threat from climate shocks, with worse to come. Adapting to these shocks is a major policy challenge. The favoured approach has so far emphasised “de-risking” development through a variety of market-based coping measures and relying on the public sector as a benevolent insurer of existing assets. While these may help address some of the immediate consequences of climate shocks, in particular for vulnerable populations, the only lasting solution is to reduce the dependence of developing countries on a small number of climate sensitive activities through a process of structural transformation that can establish more resilient economies.
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