福岛核灾难-对日本农业和食物链的影响

Hrabrin Bachev Храбрин Башев, Fusao Ito
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引用次数: 8

摘要

关于福岛核灾难对日本农业食品行业的各种影响的英文出版物很少。此外,由于污染和受影响因素的规模、影响的多样性和演变、外溢性和时间跨度长,以及缺乏“充分”的信息和分析模型,福岛灾难对农业和食品部门的总体影响还远未得到全面评估。本文试图填补这一空白,并评估福岛核灾难对日本农业和食物链的不同影响。首先,提出了一个分析框架。其次,评估了辐射的即时和短期影响,以及对附近人口、安全监管和检查体系、市场和消费者行为、农产品和食品、健康的影响,以及对农业和农业企业的经济影响。第三,评估对福岛地区、周边地区和日本其他地区的农业、食品工业和消费者的短期和长期总体影响。
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Fukushima Nuclear Disaster – Implications for Japanese Agriculture and Food Chains
There are few publications on various impacts of Fukushima nuclear disaster on agri-food sector in Japan in English. Moreover, due to the scale of contamination and affected agents, impact’s multiplicities and evolution, spillovers, and long time horizon, and the lack of “full” information and models of analysis, the overall impacts of Fukushima disaster on agrarian and food sector is far from being completely evaluated. This paper tries to fill the gap and assesses diverse impacts of Fukushima nuclear disaster on Japanese agriculture and food chains. First, a framework of analysis is presented. Second, immediate and short-term radiation effects, and effects on nearby population, safety regulation and inspection system, markets and consumer’s behavior, agrarian and food products, and health, as well as economic impacts on farming and agri-businesses, are all assessed. Third, overall shorter and longer-term impacts on agriculture, food industries, and consumers in Fukushima region, neighboring regions, and other parts of Japan are estimated.
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