新冠肺炎疫情下经济政策的具体问题

Danijel Milošević, Vladislav Marjanovic
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新冠肺炎疫情严重冲击全球。从医学的角度来看,我们似乎已经找到了对抗它的方法,新的任务是恢复经济。首先,我们需要评估影响,并指定受影响最大的行业,以便制定支持方案。同样,确定仍能推动经济走向复苏的引擎也至关重要。毫无疑问,经济政策制定者的主要目标应该是使即将发生的衰退曲线趋于平缓。在这一过程中,最重要的是平衡政府对经济的支持程度。也就是说,我们想要的是通过延长危机的影响来降低影响的强度,但同时又不让债务增加得太高。必须针对特定经济体及其决定因素,单独制定具体的行动计划。出于这个原因,政策制定者没有可以遵循的模式。考虑到塞尔维亚的公共债务已经很高,必须在不损害未来收入的情况下仔细设计支助方案。
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Specific Aspects of the Economic Policy in the Conditions of the Covid-19 Pandemic
Abstract Covid-19 has hit the world intensely. From the medical point of view it seems that we have found the way to fight it, and the new task is to recover the economies. First of all, we need to assess the impact and specify the industries that suffered the most in order to create support packages. It is, as well, crutial to define the engines that are still able to drive the economies towards the recovery. The main aim for economic policy makers should be to flatten the curve of the recession that will occur, no doubts. During this process, it is of highest importance to balance the extent of the support government will provide for the economy. Namely, what we want is to lower the intensity of the impact by prolonging the effects of the crisis, however without increasing the debt too high. Specific action plans have to be created individually, with regards to particular economies and their determinants. For that reason, there is no pattern that policy makers could follow. Having in mind that Serbian public debt is already high, it is essential to carefully design the support packages, without jeopardizing future income.
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