人工智能预测在可再生能源电力平衡市场中的应用

Zeenat Hameed, S. Hashemi, C. Træholt
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引用次数: 4

摘要

日益严重的环境问题促使更多的可再生能源进入电力系统。这种增加带来了发电的不确定性,并使保持供需平衡变得具有挑战性。为了避免平衡问题和随之而来的稳定性问题,需要更好的预测模型,因为传统技术无法完全应对这些新挑战。因此,基于人工智能(AI)的预测技术正在电力市场领域获得潜在的认可。本文旨在研究人工智能在电力平衡市场(EBMs)价格预测中的应用现状。在此方向上,以往的研究重点一直是针对前一天的市场,而针对EBMs的研究相当少。本文展示了基于人工智能的预测如何支持EBMs建模,从而实现分布式技术更安全的网格集成。市场参与者(如经纪人和客户)从这些预测中获得的利益也被调查。
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Applications of AI-Based Forecasts in Renewable Based Electricity Balancing Markets
Rising environmental concerns are integrating more renewables in power systems. This increase introduces uncertainty in generation and makes it challenging to maintain a balance between demand and supply. To avoid balancing problems and consequent stability issues, better forecast models are needed as traditional techniques are not fully equipped to deal with these new challenges. Thus, artificial intelligence (AI) based forecast techniques are gaining potential recognition in the realm of electricity markets. This paper aims at investigating the state-of-art of AI applications for price forecasts in electricity balancing markets (EBMs). The focus of previous studies extended in this direction has been towards the day- ahead markets, whereas studies targeting EBMs are rather scarce. This paper shows how AI-based forecasts support EBMs modeling, resulting in more secure grid integration of distributed technologies. The benefits driven from such forecasts by market participants like brokers and customers are also investigated.
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