经济增长、宏观经济和金融稳定视角下金融部门最优深度和结构的确定

M. Mamonov, R. Akhmetov, V. Pankova, O. Solntsev, A. Pestova, A. Deshko
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文试图估计金融部门的发展目标,在其他条件相同的情况下,提供最好的GDP表现,同时确保其增长的可持续性以及价格和金融稳定。为了解决这一问题,我们检验了GDP动态、波动性、通货膨胀、金融危机频率与主要金融部门发展之间的非线性关系假设。该研究使用了面板数据回归分析的标准技术,另一方面,在1980年至2014年期间对63个新兴和发达经济体的样本进行了类似问题的研究。
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Identification of Financial Sector Optimal Depth and Structure from the Perspective of Economic Growth, Macroeconomic and Financial Stability
This paper attempts to estimate financial sector development targets which, other things being equal, provide for the best possible GDP performance while ensuring its growth sustainability along with price and financial stability. To address this task, the hypothesis of nonlinear relationship between GDP dynamics, its volatility, inflation, the frequency of financial crises, on the one hand and the development of key financial sector segments was tested. The study used a standard technique of panel data regression analysis, on the other hand employed in studies examining similar issues and a sample of 63 emerging and advanced economies covering 1980 – 2014.
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