融资和支付政策对太阳能光伏电站经济盈利能力的影响

C. Magni, A. Marchioni, Davide Baschieri
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文提出了一个综合评价模型,用于评估太阳能光伏电站的投资,包括运营和财务管理。我们说明了技术(估计)变量和财务(决策)变量之间复杂的逻辑关系网络,并表明在前者和后者之间建立透明的联系可以提高模型的准确性和可靠性。结果表明,理解经营变量和财务决策的概念和形式关系对于正确衡量股东价值创造和做出理性决策是必要的,即使对于那些运营、技术成分至关重要的项目(如太阳能项目)也是如此。研究表明,企业用太阳能替代传统能源的决策可能受到企业支付/保留政策和支持该项目的融资政策的管理决策的影响。该模型揭示了如何微调融资和分配决策,以便为股东创造最大价值的见解。我们将该模型应用于一个现实案例,量化了财务决策对项目净现值的影响,结果表明,融资和分配政策可能会放大或缩小其他投入变化的影响,甚至可能将一个原本无利可图的项目转变为一个创造价值的项目。
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Impact of Financing and Payout Policy on the Economic Profitability of Solar Photovoltaic Plants
This paper presents a comprehensive evaluation model for appraising an investment in a solar photovoltaic plant which encompasses both operational and financial management. We illustrate the intricate network of logical relations among technical (estimated) variables and financial (decision) variables and show that establishing transparent links between the former and the latter enhances the accuracy and soundness of the model. The results indicate that understanding the conceptual and formal relations of operating variables and financial decisions is necessary for correctly measuring shareholder value creation and making rational decisions, even for those projects (such as solar energy projects) where the operating, technical component is of paramount importance. We show that a firm’s decision of replacing conventional energy with solar energy may be affected by managerial decisions regarding the firm’s payout/retention policy and its financing policy to support the project. The model discloses insights on how to fine-tune the financing and distribution decisions in order to maximize the value creation for shareholders. We apply the model to a real-life case and quantify the effect of financial decisions on the project’s net present value, showing that the financing and distribution policies may amplify or shrink the impact of changes in other inputs and may even revert an otherwise unprofitable project into a value-creating one.
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