海平面上升对沿海城市污水管网潜在性能的影响

Dong Jun Kim, Y. Song, J. Lee
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摘要

气候变化导致的海平面上升导致污水管道的排放能力下降,由于排水口向海岸的侵蚀,城市淹没的风险增加。因此,定量评估和预测风险的增加程度对于正确应对因海平面上升而加剧的洪水风险至关重要。在本研究中,考虑到沿海地区的区域特征和海平面上升情景,选择了两个研究区域。在选定的研究领域,通过可靠性技术对下水道网络的性能进行了量化。据此,分析并重新评价了防灾绩效目标降雨量随海平面上升的变化。结果表明:在近最高高潮影响下,莞岛和泗川地区按降雨时间分的防灾绩效目标降雨量分别为35.6% ~ 41.7%和36.7% ~ 67.5%;本研究提出了调整防灾绩效目标降雨量的方案,在考虑海平面上升的情况下,应提高目标降雨量,以满足当前的防灾绩效目标降雨量。为应对海平面上升导致的沿海城市洪水风险增加,本研究结果有望为制定沿海城市减灾战略提供基础数据。
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Potential Performance Assessment of Coastal Urban Sewer Network according to Sea Level Rise
The rise in sea levels due to climate change causes a decrease in the discharge capacity of sewer pipes and an increase in the risk of urban inundation due to the encroaching of outfall to the coast. Therefore, it is crucial to quantitatively evaluate and predict the increasing degree of risk to properly respond to the risk of inundation that is aggravated by the effects of rising sea levels. In this study, two research areas were selected in consideration of the regional characteristics of the coastal area and the sea level rise scenarios. In the selected research areas, the performance of the sewer network was quantified through a reliability technique. Accordingly, the change in the Disaster Prevention Performance Target Rainfall according to the sea level rise was analyzed and reevaluated. The results showed that the target rainfall for disaster prevention performance by rainfall duration in Wando was 35.6% to 41.7% and in Sacheon, it was 36.7% to 67.5% under the influence of the approximate highest high water. This study presented a plan to adjust the target rainfall for disaster prevention performance, which should be raised in consideration of the sea level rise to meet the current target rainfall for disaster prevention performance. In response to the flood risk of coastal cities increasing due to rising sea levels, the results of this study are expected to serve as basic data to establish disaster reduction strategies for coastal cities.
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